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Weekly Market Commentary

Stay informed with our Weekly Market Commentary, your source for timely insights on market trends, economic developments, and key events shaping the financial landscape.

Each week, we break down what happened, why it matters, and what it could mean for investors moving forward.

Moats vs. Inertia: Unpacking the Personal AI Agent Threat

October 19, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research examines how personal AI agents may disrupt businesses that rely on consumer inertia while leaving strong competitive moats intact.

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Credit Is Still Flowing, and Businesses Are Borrowing 

October 12, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research examines resilient business lending, narrowing credit spreads, and a housing market constrained by the growing mortgage rate lock-in effect.

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The Debt Math, Explained

October 5, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research examines rising government debt costs, Treasury market stress, and what investors should watch as higher rates reshape the fiscal outlook.

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Stock Market’s Wall of Worry Gets Taller

September 28, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research explores how geopolitical tensions, higher interest rates, and AI investment are adding to the stock market’s wall of worry.

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What's Holding Up Record Margins?

September 21, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research analyzes S&P 500 margin expansion, assessing how much is structural versus cyclical and what that means for future earnings forecasts.

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What History Says About Fed Hikes and Stocks

September 14, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research reveals what past rate-hike cycles can teach investors and why today's market backdrop remains supportive.

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Signs Point to a Normalization, Not a Crisis

September 8, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research analyzes rising U.S. debt, Treasury yields, and fiscal trends, highlighting implications for markets and investors.

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The Cash Flow Case for Value

August 31, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research explores why value stocks are outperforming, how free cash flow drives returns, and the impact of AI spending on markets.

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Stock Market Tug of War: Earnings vs. Rates

August 24, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research explores how strong earnings growth, AI-driven profits, and rising estimates are supporting stocks despite pressure from higher interest rates.

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Shifting Leadership in Global Growth

August 17, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research explores shifting global growth leadership, cooling emerging markets, Fed policy expectations, and foreign demand for U.S. Treasuries.

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Municipal Bond Outlook: Why Carry Is the Strategy

August 10, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research outlines how a Fed on hold, strong reinvestment demand, and elevated yields create compelling opportunities in municipal bonds.

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Constructive on Stocks in the Second Half as AI Debate Continues

August 3, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research highlights strong corporate earnings, AI-driven growth, and a favorable equity outlook while monitoring inflation, oil prices, and risks.

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Can Hyperscalers Earn Their AI Ambitions?

July 27, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research explores whether hyperscalers can generate attractive returns on massive AI investments through a framework focused on ROIC, growth, and capex.

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China Holds Keys to Post-War Oil Prices

July 20, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research analyzes China’s declining crude imports, inflation risks, and the resilient U.S. economy driving above-trend growth.

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Keep Calm and Clip Coupons

July 13, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research examines how sticky inflation, Fed leadership changes, and AI-driven borrowing are shaping the fixed income outlook for 2026.

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Has Stock Market Exuberance Become Irrational?

June 29, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research examines current market and investor sentiment in an effort to gauge current levels of exuberance.

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Kevin Warsh Could Shake Up the Fed

June 22, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research examines Warsh’s evolving Fed approach, infrastructure-led growth, and the impact of China demand on oil prices.

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Is Bad News Already Priced into the Bond Market?

June 8, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research analyzes bond markets as yields rise, exploring Fed policy expectations, inflation trends, and whether bad news is already priced into Treasuries.

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Add Context, and Stock Market Valuations are Fair

June 1, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research analyzes stock valuations, finding them fair given growth, rates, inflation, and AI-driven earnings outlook despite risks.

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Seeds of Opportunity: The Case for Agriculture Investments

May 26, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research explores opportunities in agriculture as supply risks and fertilizer constraints reshape commodity markets and support potential gains.

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A New Fed Regime: Warsh, Policy Direction, and Treasury Market Consequences

May 11, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research explores how a potential Warsh-led Fed could reshape policy, Treasury markets, and volatility amid rising deficits and shifting demand.

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AI Wave Continues to Power Technology Earnings Boom

May 4, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research examines overlooked tech growth, assessing strong earnings, AI skepticism, and valuation opportunities for investors.

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American Industrial Renaissance: Fact or Fiction?

April 27, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research assesses the case for an American Industrial Renaissance, focusing on manufacturing investment, supply‑chain resilience, and energy costs.

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Rethinking Fixed Income Allocation in a Multi‑Polar World

April 20, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research examines the fixed income space as global bonds broaden yields and reduce U.S. concentration, offering diversified income and resilience via non‑U.S. developed and emerging markets.

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The Economy Takes Multiple Shocks in Stride

April 13, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research reviews inflation, growth, and global financial conditions, showing why the economy continues to withstand multiple shocks.

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Lessons From Past Conflicts for Today’s Stock Market

April 6, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research looks to the past for lessons on geopolitical uncertainty and its potential impact on equities.

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Earnings Likely to Grow Double-Digits Again; Will Markets Care?

March 30, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research explains why solid earnings, AI investment, and economic resilience underpin stocks, even as oil prices and volatility pressure markets.

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Private Credit Under Pressure: Liquidity Mismatches in an AI-Disrupted Cycle

March 23, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research examines recent private credit activity in the face of growing sophistication from AI.

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Why Oil Prices Matter Less — But Still Move Headline Inflation

March 16, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research explains how America’s declining reliance on oil and rising geopolitical risks shape inflation, growth expectations, and volatility in 2026.

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Markets Tested as Iran Conflict Continues

March 9, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research reviews how the Iran conflict is affecting markets, highlighting energy risks, market resilience, and what investors should watch in the weeks ahead.

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How LPL Research Thinks About Dividends

March 2, 2026 | LPL Research 

Looking beyond recent dividend strategies' performance, LPL Research asks and answers the question, “How should I think about dividend stocks or building an equity income portfolio?”

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LPL Research’s 2026 Strategic Asset Allocation

February 23, 2026 | LPL Research 

Explore LPL Research’s 2026 SAA update, featuring equity shifts, bond strategy, and purposeful diversification to support steady long‑term portfolio outcomes.

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From Bubble Fears to Disruption Risk: The New AI Market Narrative

February 17, 2026 | LPL Research 

LPL Research analyzes recent market activity, AI anxieties, and possible directions the new technology could be heading in.

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